{"id":279533,"date":"2026-01-08T09:46:50","date_gmt":"2026-01-08T17:46:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.castingnetworks.com\/?p=279533"},"modified":"2026-05-22T12:58:04","modified_gmt":"2026-05-22T19:58:04","slug":"golden-globes-predictions-2026-actor-nominees","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.castingnetworks.com\/news\/golden-globes-predictions-2026-actor-nominees\/","title":{"rendered":"Golden Globes 2026: Male Actor Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Well, I\u2019m back. There\u2019s a big awards show this weekend, and with that comes some prognostication. The tricky thing is that the awards show in question is the Golden Globes, which is the most ridiculous and unpredictable of the whole bunch, so this whole thing is admittedly more of a crap shoot than normal. I do think they tend to reward celebrity more than other award shows, and they also like to follow trends, as you\u2019ll see in a few of my choices over the next two days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Having offered those caveats, though, I\u2019m ready, willing and able to give it the old college try, so herein is a quick and nasty look at each of the male acting categories, film and TV, rapid-fire style. Tomorrow, we\u2019ll look at the actresses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Key Insights<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Globes reward star power and trends more than any other major awards body, creating unpredictable outcomes.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Across film categories, breakout performances and celebrity momentum are driving frontrunners over traditional prestige picks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>TV races reveal a wave of repeat winners and new favorites, cementing momentum heading into Emmys and Oscars.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\n    <div class=\"d-flex align-items-center justify-content-center px-lg-5 px-3 pt-1\" style=\"background-color: rgba(10,9,9,0);background-image: url(&#039;https:\/\/www.castingnetworks.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Mask-group.webp&#039;); background-size: cover; background-position: center;\">\n        <div class=\"banner-left col-4 col-lg-5\">\n            <h2 class=\"text-left\">Get access to thousands <br>of high-quality roles.<\/h2>\n        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"banner-center col-3 col-lg-3 text-center\">\n                            <picture>\n                                            <source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.castingnetworks.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/PHONE-MOCK-2-mobile.webp\" media=\"(max-width: 768px)\">\n                                                                <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.castingnetworks.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Group-32.webp\" alt=\"Banner Image\" class=\"banner-image-mobile\">\n                                    <\/picture>\n                    <\/div>\n        <div class=\"banner-right col-5 col-lg-4 text-center\">\n                            <a id=\"banner-link\" href=\"https:\/\/app.castingnetworks.com\/login\/signup\/TALENT?_ga=2.43125222.2103773832.1721048373-1030609057.1713483804&#038;_gl=1*1vfcgsy*_gcl_au*MTk4MzczMDgyNy4xNzIxMzA4NzY4*_ga*MTAzMDYwOTA1Ny4xNzEzNDgzODA0*_ga_5V50WCP8LX*MTcyMTMyMTIwOS4zMDYuMS4xNzIxMzIxMjM5LjAuMC4zMTgwMTM3MQ..&#038;post_type=news&#038;p=135120&#038;preview=true\" class=\"btn-article btn-primary btn-dark text-white text-nowrap\" target=\"_blank\">\n                    JOIN FREE TODAY                <\/a>\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>BEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR: DRAMA<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The nominees are Dwayne Johnson,<em> The Smashing Machine<\/em>, Jeremy Allen White, <em>Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere<\/em>, Joel Edgerton, <em>Train Dreams<\/em>, Michael B. Jordan, <em>Sinners<\/em>, Oscar Isaac, <em>Frankenstein <\/em>and Wagner Moura, <em>The Secret Agent<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Remember over the summer, when people were talking about Johnson winning an Oscar? Well, that talk has long died down, and the only reason he\u2019s here \u2014 great as he is in the movie \u2014 is because of the two categories. He\u2019s not getting an Oscar nod, neither is White, and probably not Isaac. Two of the best performances I saw all year were Edgerton and Moura, and if I had to choose, I\u2019d go with the latter, though I think Jordan wins for his dual roles in Ryan Coogler\u2019s excellent period vampire thriller.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WHO SHOULD WIN: Wagner Moura<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WHO WILL WIN: Michael B. Jordan<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>BEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE \u2013 MUSICAL OR COMEDY<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The nominees are Ethan Hawke, <em>Blue Moon<\/em>, George Clooney, <em>Jay Kelly<\/em>, Jesse Plemons, <em>Bugonia<\/em>, Lee Byung-hun, <em>No Other Choice<\/em>, Leonardo DiCaprio, <em>One Battle After Another <\/em>and Timoth\u00e9e Chalamet, <em>Marty Supreme<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This one is more complicated than I think it should be. Clooney has an outside shot at an Oscar nod for his solid work playing a movie star, but the movie is a trifle that has no real weight to it. The star power, though, is enough to make me think he has a chance here, because the Hollywood Foreign Press Association knows he\u2019d give a killer acceptance speech. DiCaprio has a similar story, though I think he\u2019s pretty much a shoo-in for a nomination. But to me, this is finally Chalamet\u2019s year. And he\u2019ll deserve it. He\u2019s simply spectacular in <em>Marty Supreme<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WHO SHOULD WIN: Timoth\u00e9e Chalamet<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WHO WILL WIN: Timoth\u00e9e Chalamet<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>BEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN ANY MOTION PICTURE<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The nominees are Adam Sandler, <em>Jay Kelly<\/em>, Benicio del Toro and Sean Penn, <em>One Battle After Another<\/em>, Jacob Elordi, <em>Frankenstein<\/em>, Paul Mescal, <em>Hamnet <\/em>and Stellan Skarsg\u00e5rd, <em>Sentimental Value<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I think the only reason Penn is here is the aforementioned star power, whereas I think the other five nominees are going to be the same ones called when Oscar nods are announced on January 22. Each of the five men here has a good argument. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Elordi or Mescal as newly anointed stars, Sandler for the dramatic turn and the great speech he\u2019ll give, and del Toro for his continued excellence and the extra zing he brings to every role. I\u2019d actually be okay with any of them winning this, and with winning the Oscar, but ultimately, I think this goes to Skarsg\u00e5rd, not just for his stellar career, but because this is the finest work he\u2019s done in that stellar career.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WHO SHOULD WIN: Stellan Skarsg\u00e5rd<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WHO WILL WIN: Stellan Skarsg\u00e5rd<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>BEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES \u2013 DRAMA<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The nominees are Adam Scott, <em>Severance<\/em>, Diego Luna, <em>Andor<\/em>, Gary Oldman, <em>Slow Horses<\/em>, Mark Ruffalo, <em>Task<\/em>, Noah Wyle, <em>The Pitt <\/em>and Sterling Brown, <em>Paradise<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As I noted when I wrote about the Emmys back in the fall, this category will always be easy for me to declare who should win it. Gary Oldman deserves every award that recognizes greatness in televised drama as long as he\u2019s playing Jackson Lamb on <em>Slow Horses<\/em>. Unfortunately, since I am not yet King of the World and cannot decree such things, let\u2019s just agree that Noah Wyle will continue his run of winning everything for which he\u2019s nominated, and if you\u2019ve seen <em>The Pitt<\/em>, it\u2019s honestly hard to argue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WHO SHOULD WIN: Gary Oldman<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WHO WILL WIN: Noah Wyle<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>BEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES \u2013&nbsp; MUSICAL OR COMEDY<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The nominees are Adam Brody, <em>Nobody Wants This<\/em>, Glen Powell, <em>Chad Powers<\/em>, Jeremy Allen White, <em>The Bear<\/em>, Seth Rogen, <em>The Studio<\/em>, and Martin Short and Steve Martin, <em>Only Murders In The Building<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jeremy Allen White has won this award three years running. That streak ends this year. The dark horse is Glen Powell \u2014 again, star power, this time combined with being newly anointed \u2014 and so if there\u2019s an upset, I think it\u2019s him, but I don\u2019t think so, because I think that just like Wyle, Seth Rogen continues his winning streak for everything <em>The Studio<\/em>-related. Also well deserved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WHO SHOULD WIN: Seth Rogen<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WHO WILL WIN: Seth Rogen<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>BEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES, ANTHOLOGY SERIES, OR A MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The nominees are Charlie Hunnam, <em>Monster: The Ed Gein Story<\/em>, Jacob Elordi, <em>The Narrow Road to The Deep North<\/em>, Jude Law, <em>Black Rabbit<\/em>, Matthew Rhys, <em>The Beast in Me<\/em>, Paul Giamatti, <em>Black Mirror <\/em>and Stephen Graham, <em>Adolescence<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This one is easy. So is the next one. It\u2019s the year of <em>Adolescence<\/em>, and there is no way that Stephen Graham isn\u2019t going to win this award. And he should.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WHO SHOULD WIN: Stephen Graham<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WHO WILL WIN: Stephen Graham<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>BEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE ON TELEVISION<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The nominees are Ashley Walters and Owen Cooper, <em>Adolescence<\/em>, Billy Crudup, <em>The Morning Show<\/em>, Jason Isaacs and Walton Goggins, <em>The White Lotus <\/em>and Tramell Tillman, <em>Severance<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">What I wrote above? Change out Graham\u2019s name for Owen Cooper\u2019s, and it\u2019s the same deal. See you tomorrow for all the actresses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WHO SHOULD WIN: Owen Cooper<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WHO WILL WIN: Owen Cooper<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Key Takeaways<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Michael B. Jordan and Timoth\u00e9e Chalamet are positioned for major Globe wins thanks to star profiles and standout roles.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Supporting categories favor industry veterans like Stellan Skarsg\u00e5rd while spotlighting rising talent such as Jacob Elordi and Paul Mescal.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>TV dominance shifts to new streaks\u2014Seth Rogen, Noah Wyle, and the cast of <em>Adolescence<\/em>\u2014with legacy icons like Gary Oldman still delivering award-worthy work.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Well, I\u2019m back. There\u2019s a big awards show this weekend, and with that comes some prognostication. The tricky thing is that the awards show in question is the Golden Globes, which is the most ridiculous and unpredictable of the whole bunch, so this whole thing is admittedly more of a crap shoot than normal. I [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":55,"featured_media":279534,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"cn_email_teaser":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[733,730],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-279533","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-industry-101","category-the-industry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Golden Globes 2026: Male Actor Predictions<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A rapid-fire analysis with predictions of the 2026 Golden Globe acting races for men across film and television.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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